Apologies

Sorry to all 5 people who might be reading this blog, but my posts will be a little inconsistent as I have school which will take a lot of my time. I would like to say though that I didn't bet or wont bet on game weeks after international fixtures because it is always harder for me to pick anything. I will try to have a post up for this weekend though so stay tuned.

My Placed Bets!

This post will always follow my weekly picks from now on to be open about what I'm betting on so if I make money and you follow it you will too, or we might lose money together. Here's what I got.

Tottenham are as close to what you call a sure thing. Wigan's defence has gotten worse from last year if that is possible and Tottenham should have an easy time of the match. Anything less than 3 goals for spurs will be a disappointment.
Tottenham 3-0 @ 7/1
Tottenham 3-1 @ 10/1
Tottenham 4-0 @ 10/1
Tottenham 4-1 @ 14/1

Despite Blackpool getting smashed last week, the way they play is very encouraging and I feel they bring some spunk going forward as a team and even caused Arsenal troubles before the red card. Against a terrible road team, Blackpool just might sneak a win here.
Blackpool 1-0 @ 17/2
Blackpool 2-0 @ 14/1
Blackpool 2-1 @ 11/1

Always start slow, nothing new this year. The good thing about this is that Everton's odds are becoming inflated even when Villa got smashed 6-0 the previous week. I have my money on Everton as I feel Villa are starting to unravel much sooner than expected.

Everton 1-0 @ 8/1
Everton 2-0 @ 14/1
Everton 2-1 @ 10/1
Everton 3-0 @ 40/1
Everton 3-1 @ 28/1
Everton 3-2 @ 40/1

Weekly Picks!

Apologies for missing my summary of last week's fixtures but I was camping and therefore no access to be able to post. All you need to know, I made $85 from 2 dollars of bets on perfect picks of 6-0 for Arsenal and Chelsea and I am 11/20 in picks so far this year and can't believe I didn't bet on my 2-2 pick for Fulham as I missed out on another easy 30-1 bet.

WEEKLY PICKS! Now with enhanced analysis! ;)

Blackburn VS Arsenal
Arsenal by 3 goals
Outcome: 1-4

Blackpool VS Fulham
Blackpool by 1 goal
Outcome: 2-1

Chelsea VS Stoke City
Chelsea by 4 goals
Outcome: 4-0

Tottenham VS Wigan
Tottenham by 5 goals
Outcome: 5-0

Wolves VS Newcastle
Newcastle by 1 goal
Outcome: 1-2

Manchester Utd VS West Ham
Manchester Utd by 2 goals
Outcome: 3-1

Bolton VS Birmingham
Draw
Outcome: 1-1

Liverpool VS West Brom
Liverpool by 1 goal
Outcome: 2-1

Sunderland VS Man City
Man City by 1 goal
Outcome: 0-1

Aston Villa VS Everton
Everton by 1 goal
Outcome: 1-2

Weekly Picks!

Unfortunately I've been strapped for time and I almost had no time to do my picks this week. Sorry for no explanation on the picks but I will elaborate in my summary next week.


Arsenal VS Blackpool
Outcome: 6-0

Birmingham VS Blackburn
Outcome: 1-0

Everton VS Wolverhampton
Outcome: 2-1

Stoke City VS Tottenham
Outcome: 2-2

West Brom VS Sunderland
Outcome: 1-1

West Ham VS Bolton
Outcome: 2-2

Wigan VS Chelsea
Outcome: 0-6

Newcastle VS Aston Villa
Outcome: 2-1

Fulham VS Manchester Utd.
Outcome: 2-2

Manchester City VS Liverpool
Outcome: 1-1

What A Weekend!

What can I say? Another incredibly entertaining weekend with everything from upsets(cheers blackpool) to goalkeeper calamities. As for my predictions, I went 6/10 which is fine in terms of betting and this post will be dedicated to recapping matches every week. So here's a quick recap of all of the matches starting with the ones I got right.

CORRECT PREDICTIONS:

Tottenham VS Manchester City
Predicted Outcome: 1-1
Actual Outcome: 0:0
This match ended just as I assumed with a draw as both teams quality wise were very evenly matched but it ended because of Hart pulling saves out of nowhere. Either way, this was my first correct pick.

Aston Villa VS West Ham
Predicted Outcome: 2-1
Actual Outcome: 3-0
This match shocked me a little bit, but not because Milner was starting. For Villa to come out and smash a West Ham team with losing their manager days before the game I assumed a much closer match, but this was mostly due to West Ham being absolute garbage. West Ham will be struggling to avoid relegation this year if they do not improve immediately.

Sunderland VS Birmingham City
Predicted Outcome: 1-1
Actual Outcome: 2-2
This match went to plan as both teams I never thought really were going to keep a clean sheet with Birmingham nowhere near as good as their previous season in the PL suggested and Sunderland with a backup goalkeeper. Sunderland should have run out comfortable winners in truth but that's football.

Chelsea VS West Brom
Predicted Outcome: 5-0
Actual Outcome: 6-0
Exactly what I expected, late last minute goal cost me the perfect outcome but that isn't a big deal. Chelsea look like they have picked up right where they left off, and West Brom will be relegation candidates as well.

Manchester Utd VS Newcastle
Predicted Outcome: 3-1
Actual Outcome: 3-0
Again, just about what I expected with Andy Carrol costing me my perfect outcome. His missed header was the one of those chances I knew Newcastle would get and maybe save some face but unfortunately, it went a little wide. Man Utd. Always had the quality to score around 3 but probably not more than that.

Liverpool VS Arsenal
Predicted Outcome: 2-2
Actual Outcome: 1-1
This match ended in a draw as I expected and I assumed both teams had enough quality going forward to score at least 1 goal a piece and that happened but in fortuitous circumstances. Now the wrong predictions :(

INCORRECT PREDICTIONS:

Blackburn VS Everton
Predicted Outcome: 1-2
Actual Outcome: 1-0
Im not too upset about getting this wrong as I had it down as a 1 goal differance, but Everton's lack of cutting edge just reinforces the fact that The Toffees need to do something about their forward line. Not much else in an incredibly dull match.


Bolton VS Fulham
Predicted Outcome: 2-0
Actual Outcome: 0-0
THIS game I was disappointed by. Fulham are a notoriously bad road team but credit to Mark Hughes for preparing them well for the 0-0. Bolton's lack of creativity in attack irked me with 2 skillful wing players in Petrov and Chung-Yong Lee not being able to break the deadlock.


Wolverhampton VS Stoke
Predicted Outcome: 1-1
Actual Outcome: 2-0
A surprise here, as Wolves seem to have found players who can score them goals this year and I think will be safe for another year in the Premiership while Stoke are getting worse and worse on the road. I feel Stoke could've drawn the match if Kenwye Jones didn't get hurt so early but what can you do.

Wigan Athletic VS Blackpool
Predicted Outcome: 3-1
Actual Outcome: 0-4
The shock of the season in only the opening weekend. What a game from Blackpool to play beautiful attacking game going forward with their entire team. I assumed Wigan could control the game with their quality from midfield/strikers but their defending is what has done them in again and they have easily become the worst defensive team in the league after losing Bramble to Sunderland.

My Weekly Picks!

Sorry it has been so long since I last posted anything but I have been studying all the fixtures and teams very carefully for this upcoming season and I simply can't wait for the epl to start. This one will be quick as Im writing this pretty late and this entire post will be my "tip of the week" segment as I will be picking match outcomes based on what I believe will be the right result with winners being in bold. Also as a way of having some fun on here, I will be keeping track of every single match and see how many correct results I choose. Here we go.

Tottenham VS Manchester City
Outcome: 1-1
Aston Villa VS West Ham
Outcome: 2-1
Blackburn VS Everton
Outcome: 1-2
Bolton VS Fulham
Outcome: 2-0
Sunderland VS Birmingham City
Outcome: 1-1
Wigan Athletic VS Blackpool
Outcome: 3-1
Wolverhampton VS Stoke
Outcome: 1-1
Chelsea VS West Brom
Outcome: 5-0
Manchester Utd VS Newcastle
Outcome: 3-1
EDIT: Forgot Arsenal V Liverpool!
Liverpool VS Arsenal
Outcome: 2-2

Odds and Yahoo Fantasy Are Up!!!

Header: I will be referring to the betting fixture categories as First, Second and Third Option Fixtures as we discussed in our initial analysis First being my favorite type and Third being my least favorite.

Finally the initial betting odds are up for the opening weekend of games along with the new YFF, and I can hardly wait for either.First, let's get fantasy out of the way.

If you were lucky enough to pop into the Yahoo site when they were uploading the game initially, you found yourself with some real bargains, but gladly they have fixed player prices and I will be dropping my entire squad based solely on the honour system so I don't have an unfair advantage. But this isn't a fantasy blog, it's a meat and potatoes betting one, so let's get our hands dirty with some analysis!

If you remember from our initial analysis for the weekend, I told you how good those Option 1&2 fixtures were and how right I was. Just look at some of these juicy odds!
Everton to win 1-0 @ 6/1
Everton to win 2-0 @ 11/1
Everton to win 2-1 @ 9/1
Everton to win 3-0 @ 28-1
Everton to win 3-1 @ 25/1
Everton to win 3-2 @ 40-1

How can I not bet on my blues to win against Blackburn with value like that? History is on my side as well when the last 2 meetings from most to least recent ended like this; 3-2 and 3-0 in favor of Everton but these are the first games of the season so anything can and will probably happen. If you want even more value here is the pick of the fixtures for the week.

Liverpool V Arsenal
Liverpool to win 1-0 @ 6/1
Liverpool to win 2-0 @ 10/1
Liverpool to win 2-1 @ 10/1
Liverpool to win 3-0 @ 28/1
Liverpool to win 3-1 @ 25/1
Liverpool to win 3-2 @ 50/1

Arsenal to win 1-0 @ 13/2
Arsenal to win 2-0 @ 12/1
Arsenal to win 2-1 @ 11/1
Arsenal to win 3-0 @ 33/1
Arsenal to win 3-1 @ 28/1
Arsenal to win 3-2 @ 50/1

From the looks of Arsenal maybe having Van Persie, Fabregas and Bendtner all out, Im leaning towards Liverpool taking this 2-1 but I will not be placing anything until I get the squad sheets for that match.
Tip Of The Week:Research
Before you place bets on matches, take as thorough an evaluation as you can of the matches your unsure about and then wait until you can at least get those oh-so-helpful pre-match reports of each squad. This will give you an indication of how the match might swing based on who's injured/missing etc.